Skip to content
Residences Toronto Sotheby’s International Realty Canada

Real Estate MarketToronto Real EstateYork Region

September 2026 | Market Report

Homebuyers were in a holding pattern in September, as uncertainty surrounding the economy, inflation and borrowing costs weighed on Greater Toronto Area (GTA) home sales.

September 2026 | Market Report
Toronto Real Estate Market Report — September 2026 | The Residences Group

Market Report · September 2026 · Greater Toronto Area

Toronto Real Estate Market Report: September 2026

Buyers paused in September. Sales fell 9.0% from a year earlier, and sellers pulled back even more: new listings dropped 14.4%. Prices did not hold the progress they made over the summer. The year-over-year decline in the average price widened to 5.1%.

At a GlanceSeptember 2026 in Numbers

Buyers stayed cautious in September. GTA REALTORS® reported 5,040 sales through the TRREB MLS® System, down from 5,540 a year earlier. Sellers held back more than buyers did. New listings fell to 16,500 from 19,270, and month-end active listings fell to 26,131, which is 2,682 fewer homes on the market than at the end of September 2025.

TRREB says economic uncertainty, inflation and borrowing costs kept buyers on the sidelines. It also points to pent-up demand: many households still plan to buy, but they want to feel secure in their jobs and expect borrowing costs to stay stable before they commit. With a municipal election coming, housing policy, including Toronto's Municipal Land Transfer Tax, is also a factor for buyers.

01 · Market ConditionsFewer Listings, Not More Sales, Kept the Market in Balance

New listings fell 14.4% from a year earlier, while sales fell 9.0%. That means supply shrank about 1.6 times as fast as demand. In August, new listings fell nearly seven times as fast as sales. The gap has narrowed because sales weakened more in September, not because more sellers listed. On a seasonally adjusted basis, both sales and new listings were lower than in August.

GTA Monthly Home Sales: 2026 vs. 2025

Residential transactions, all TRREB areas

2026 year-to-date sales totalled 47,115, down 1.0% from the 47,598 recorded in January–September 2025 (our calculation from TRREB's revised monthly series). Source: TRREB Market Watch.

Supply and Demand

September 2026 vs. September 2025

Sales −9.0% · New listings −14.4% · Active listings −9.3%

Market Balance

In September, sales equalled 30.5% of new listings, up from 28.7% a year earlier (our calculation from TRREB's monthly totals). That is tighter than last year, but still a buyer-leaning market.

TRREB's 12-month trend measures show a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 37.8% and 4.6 months of inventory. Homes are not selling faster. The average sold listing took 34 days, compared with 33 a year ago, and sold for 98% of its asking price.

Our read

For now, the tight supply is helping buyers more than sellers. With fewer homes listed, prices have room to firm up once confidence returns. But demand hasn't recovered yet, so motivated buyers can still negotiate.

02 · Pricing TrendsPrices Fell Further Behind Last Year in September

The average selling price was $1,006,409, down 5.1% from $1,060,036 in September 2025. The MLS® HPI Composite benchmark, which adjusts for the mix of homes sold, was $917,600, down 4.7%. On a seasonally adjusted basis, both measures were slightly lower than in August.

This is a change from earlier in the year. Between January and August, the year-over-year price decline narrowed from 7.0% to 2.7%. In September it widened again to 5.1%. Part of the reason is that September 2025 was a strong month to compare against, when the average price rose to $1,060,036. Still, the trend toward smaller declines did not continue.

GTA Average Selling Price

All home types, all TRREB areas

The 2026 monthly figures are TRREB's revised series as published in the September Market Watch. Source: TRREB Market Watch.

Price by Home Type: City of Toronto (416) vs. the 905

Semi-detached homes held their value best. Their GTA average price was almost unchanged, down 0.2%, and in the 416 it rose 2.1%. Condo apartments saw the largest price drop, down 7.7%. The gap between the 416 and the 905 is clear. Detached sales fell 10.3% in the 905 but only 4.0% in the 416. Condo apartment prices fell 12.0% in the 905, compared with 6.1% in the 416.

Average Price by Home Type, September 2026

Average selling price

Sales & Average Price by Major Home Type — September 2026
Home TypeSalesAvg. 416Avg. 905Average PriceSales YoYPrice YoY
Detached2,399$1,562,966$1,193,432$1,292,016−8.7%−5.1%
Semi-Detached459$1,207,884$851,266$1,015,202−8.2%−0.2%
Townhouse803$922,445$789,299$820,637−12.8%−4.6%
Condo Apartment1,316$640,248$533,654$605,257−7.8%−7.7%
All Home Types5,040$1,034,320—$1,006,409−9.0%−5.1%

03 · Regional PerformanceAverage Sale Price by Region

Halton Region had the highest average price in September at $1,139,025, followed closely by York Region at $1,136,650. York had the highest median, at $1,043,000. The City of Toronto's average was $1,034,320. Its median was much lower at $810,000, because Toronto sells many condos alongside its expensive detached homes. Durham was the most affordable of the five main regions, with an average of $828,141. It was also the tightest market, with only 3.5 months of inventory.

Average Sale Price by Region, September 2026

Above the GTA benchmark for the selected home type · At or below it. Fewer than 10 sales are flagged in the tooltip. Source: TRREB Market Watch.

Regional Scorecard

Click any column heading to sort. Sale-to-list ratios and months of inventory show how much negotiating room buyers have in each market.

Summary of Existing Home Transactions — September 2026
RegionSalesAvg. PriceMedian New ListingsSNLR (Trend)Mos. Inv.SP/LPAvg. LDOM

SNLR and months of inventory are TRREB 12-month moving averages. SP/LP = average sale price to list price. LDOM = average listing days on market.

Where the market is tightest

Toronto East was the only region where homes sold above asking on average, at 101% of list price, with 3.6 months of inventory and 29 days on market. Within it, E01 (Leslieville/South Riverdale) reached 109% and E02 (The Beaches) 105%. Detached and semi-detached homes in these east-end neighbourhoods remain hard to find. At the other end, King Township had 11.4 months of inventory and Georgina 6.5, so buyers in those markets have much more room to negotiate.

04 · Condominium MarketCondominium Prices by Region

Condo apartments made up 26.1% of GTA sales in September. There were 1,316 transactions at an average price of $605,257 (median $520,000). Sales fell 7.8% and the average price fell 7.7% from a year earlier. That was the largest price drop of any major home type. The MLS® HPI Apartment benchmark was $527,200, down 6.7%, the steepest decline among all benchmark categories.

Condo Apartment Average Price by Region

The 905 municipalities view shows only municipalities with 20 or more condo apartment sales. Averages for areas with few sales can change a lot from month to month. Dufferin and Simcoe each recorded only 2 condo apartment sales. Source: TRREB Market Watch.

Condo Apartment Sales by Region — September 2026
RegionSalesAvg. PriceMedianActive ListingsSP/LPAvg. LDOM
Halton Region66$638,586$505,00053396%45
Peel Region157$482,848$430,0001,02596%47
City of Toronto884$640,248$535,0005,32997%40
Toronto West191$560,272$505,0001,13197%42
Toronto Central593$683,259$565,0003,53997%40
Toronto East100$537,948$461,25065997%36
York Region167$564,236$525,0001,08697%47
Durham Region38$440,829$427,50019497%41
Dufferin County2$298,500$298,500896%45
Simcoe County2$504,500$504,5005197%41
All TRREB Areas1,316$605,257$520,0008,22697%42

The condo market is concentrated in the City of Toronto. The 416 accounted for 884 of 1,316 condo apartment sales (67%). Prices there also held up better, down 6.1% compared with 12.0% in the 905. Toronto Central averaged $683,259 across 593 sales. Downtown C01 led with 196 sales at $654,366. C02 (The Annex/Yorkville) averaged $1,690,737 because of its luxury condo sales. In the 905, Mississauga was the most active market, with 122 sales averaging $500,192. Vaughan averaged $548,958 and Markham $574,612.

Condo Apartment Sales by Price Range

GTA, September 2026

52% of condo apartment sales closed between $400,000 and $599,999.

What the Condo Numbers Say

  • Plenty of supply. There were 8,226 active condo apartment listings and 1,316 sales, or about 6.3 months of supply. Across all home types it was 5.2 months (our calculation).
  • Buyers can choose. Condo sales equalled 29.1% of new condo listings. Units took an average of 42 days to sell, compared with 34 days across the market.
  • Most sales are under $600K. 52% of condo apartment sales closed between $400,000 and $599,999, the price range where first-time buyers are most active.
  • The 905 has adjusted the most. Peel ($482,848) and Durham ($440,829) are the most affordable regions. The 905's 12.0% year-over-year price decline is the sharpest repricing in any segment.
Our read

For end-user buyers, condo apartments are the most negotiable part of the GTA market right now. For sellers, pricing correctly from the start matters more than in any other segment.

05 · Price DistributionWhere Transactions Are Closing

In September, 3,218 of 5,040 sales (63.9%) closed below $1 million. Another 1,547 sales closed between $1 million and $2 million. There were 275 sales at $2 million and above, 5.5% of all transactions, and 238 of them were detached homes.

GTA Home Sales by Price Range and Home Type

September 2026 · Price ranges get wider above $1 million

Townhouse = attached/row/townhouse plus condo townhouse. Other = link, co-op, detached condo and co-ownership. Source: TRREB Market Watch.

06 · Economic BackdropInterest Rates and Inflation Are Keeping Buyers Cautious

2.30%
Bank of Canada overnight rate (Sept.)
4.50%
Prime rate (Sept.)
6.09%
5-year mortgage rate
3.0%
CPI inflation, year-over-year (Aug.)
6.8%
Toronto unemployment rate (Aug., SA)
3.3%
Real GDP growth, Q2 (annualized)

The overnight rate is 2.3%, but posted mortgage rates are still high: 5.49% for a 1-year term, 6.05% for a 3-year and 6.09% for a 5-year. With inflation at 3.0%, buyers are not counting on further rate cuts. Toronto's unemployment rate is 6.8%, which has made buyers more cautious, even though employment grew 1.7% over the year. TRREB's Chief Information Officer, Jason Mercer, said buyers need to feel secure in their jobs and expect borrowing costs to stay stable before they commit.

07 · OutlookWhat to Watch This Fall

  • New listings. New listings were down more than 14% year-over-year in both August and September. If that continues through November, the market will tighten even if demand stays flat.
  • The 905 detached market. Detached sales in the 905 fell 10.3%, while prices fell only 4.4%. Sellers in suburban markets are holding firm on price, so fewer homes are selling.
  • Condo apartments. Prices are still falling in the 905 and the HPI Apartment benchmark is down 6.7%. We do not expect this segment to stabilize before spring.
  • Municipal policy. The municipal election and the debate over land transfer taxes could affect when buyers decide to act in the GTA and Simcoe County.
Bottom line

September showed that the market needs buyer confidence to recover, not just lower prices. Supply is tight, demand is waiting, and prices are still slightly lower than a year ago. Buyers who act before confidence returns face less competition. Sellers who price for the current market, not last spring's, are still selling.

Source and methodology. All figures are from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) Market Watch, September 2026, released October 6, 2026. Economic indicators are from Statistics Canada and the Bank of Canada as reported by TRREB. Past monthly and year-to-date figures are revised by TRREB each month. Figures marked "our calculation" are derived from TRREB's published totals. Average prices for areas with few sales can be volatile.

The Residences Group at Sotheby's International Realty Canada · residencestoronto.com. This report is for information only and is not intended to solicit properties already under contract.